The Drake equation is a probabilistic argument used to estimate the number of active, communicative extraterrestrial civilizations in the Milky Way Galaxy. It was formulated in 1961 by Doctor Frank Drake[1]
The Drake Equation relies on values derived from assumptions. This leads to a value of N being almost anything you want. But it sure does give one some interesting ideas to play with.
Doctor Frank Drake contributed many milestones to the search for extraterrestrial civilizations. He was 92 when he died on September 02, 2022. Definitely a life well lived.
If you would like to know more about Doctor Drake or his equation, here are some articles.
Frank Drake
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Drake
Frank Drake ’51, astronomy pioneer, dies at 92
By Linda B. Glaser College of Arts and Sciences
September 8, 2022
https://news.cornell.edu/stories/20.....ioneer-dies-92
Frank Drake, creator of the Drake equation and Project Ozma, dies at 92
By Seth Shostak
Published: Wednesday, September 7, 2022
https://astronomy.com/news/2022/09/.....zma-dies-at-92
[1]
Drake equation
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation
Drake Equation Tutorial
By Jim Plaxco
https://www.astrodigital.org/astron....._equation.html
May you have interesting ideas playing with The Drake Equation.
TG
The Drake Equation relies on values derived from assumptions. This leads to a value of N being almost anything you want. But it sure does give one some interesting ideas to play with.
Doctor Frank Drake contributed many milestones to the search for extraterrestrial civilizations. He was 92 when he died on September 02, 2022. Definitely a life well lived.
If you would like to know more about Doctor Drake or his equation, here are some articles.
Frank Drake
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Drake
Frank Drake ’51, astronomy pioneer, dies at 92
By Linda B. Glaser College of Arts and Sciences
September 8, 2022
https://news.cornell.edu/stories/20.....ioneer-dies-92
Frank Drake, creator of the Drake equation and Project Ozma, dies at 92
By Seth Shostak
Published: Wednesday, September 7, 2022
https://astronomy.com/news/2022/09/.....zma-dies-at-92
[1]
Drake equation
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation
Drake Equation Tutorial
By Jim Plaxco
https://www.astrodigital.org/astron....._equation.html
May you have interesting ideas playing with The Drake Equation.
TG
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It is so 'guessable' most authorities steer clear of a definitive number. But I did find these:
500 civilizations in the Milky Way Galaxy
https://astrosociety.org/file_downl.....d-06118746d8f1
Drake’s own estimate of his equation is N = L = 10,000 civilizations, which
suggests that the other factors multiply approximately to one (Drake, 2011).
https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/.....1705.07816.pdf
Inserting the above minimum numbers into the equation gives a minimum N of 20 (see: Range of results). Inserting the maximum numbers gives a maximum of 50,000,000. Drake states that given the uncertainties, the original meeting concluded that N ≈ L, and there were probably between 1000 and 100,000,000 planets with civilizations in the Milky Way Galaxy.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation
You may also like this cartoon on the subject
https://www.explainxkcd.com/wiki/in.....38:_The_Search
And here is a calculator to that allows anyone to play with the Drake Equation.
http://www.pbs.org/lifebeyondearth/.....ing/drake.html
May the mysteries of the Milky Way Galaxy amaze you today.
TG
500 civilizations in the Milky Way Galaxy
https://astrosociety.org/file_downl.....d-06118746d8f1
Drake’s own estimate of his equation is N = L = 10,000 civilizations, which
suggests that the other factors multiply approximately to one (Drake, 2011).
https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/.....1705.07816.pdf
Inserting the above minimum numbers into the equation gives a minimum N of 20 (see: Range of results). Inserting the maximum numbers gives a maximum of 50,000,000. Drake states that given the uncertainties, the original meeting concluded that N ≈ L, and there were probably between 1000 and 100,000,000 planets with civilizations in the Milky Way Galaxy.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation
You may also like this cartoon on the subject
https://www.explainxkcd.com/wiki/in.....38:_The_Search
And here is a calculator to that allows anyone to play with the Drake Equation.
http://www.pbs.org/lifebeyondearth/.....ing/drake.html
May the mysteries of the Milky Way Galaxy amaze you today.
TG
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